Msc Industrial Direct Stock Performance

MSM Stock  USD 95.56  0.61  0.64%   
MSC Industrial has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.97, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. MSC Industrial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MSC Industrial is expected to follow. MSC Industrial Direct currently owns a risk of 1.91%. Please verify MSC Industrial Direct value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if MSC Industrial Direct will be following its current price history.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MSC Industrial Direct are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting basic indicators, MSC Industrial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.64
Five Day Return
14.24
Year To Date Return
11.32
Ten Year Return
45.12
All Time Return
687.8
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0367
Payout Ratio
0.8866
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.48
Dividend Date
2026-01-28
1
Firing on All Cylinders VSE Corporation Q3 Earnings Lead the Way
11/12/2025
 
MSC Industrial dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
2
JPMorgan Chase Co. Purchases 14,107 Shares of MSC Industrial Direct Company, Inc. MSM
12/05/2025
3
MSC Industrial Reports Q4 Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
01/06/2026
4
MSC Industrial Q1 Earnings How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
01/07/2026
5
MSC Industrial Direct Margin Compression In Q1 2026 Tests Bullish Efficiency Narrative
01/09/2026
6
Disposition of 2913 shares by Mitchell Jacobson of MSC Industrial subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
7
Disposition of tradable shares by Rudina Seseri of MSC Industrial subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
8
Disposition of 695 shares by Michael Kaufmann of MSC Industrial subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
9
Acquisition by Purcell Rahquel of 1603 shares of MSC Industrial subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
10
United Rentals To Report Earnings Tomorrow Here Is What To Expect
01/27/2026
 
MSC Industrial dividend paid on 28th of January 2026
01/28/2026
11
Teacher Retirement System of Texas Has 2.20 Million Holdings in MSC Industrial Direct Company, Inc. MSM
01/30/2026
12
Msc Industrial Direct stock hits 52-week high at 94.55 USD - Investing.com India
02/04/2026
13
A Look At MSC Industrial Direct Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow29.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-63.3 M

MSC Industrial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,657  in MSC Industrial Direct on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  899.00  from holding MSC Industrial Direct or generate 10.38% return on investment over 90 days. MSC Industrial Direct is generating 0.1799% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9059% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than MSC, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MSC Industrial is expected to generate 2.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

MSC Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MSC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 95.56 90 days 95.56 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MSC Industrial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MSC Industrial Direct probability density function shows the probability of MSC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MSC Industrial has a beta of 0.97. This indicates MSC Industrial Direct market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MSC Industrial is expected to follow. Additionally MSC Industrial Direct has an alpha of 0.1421, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MSC Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MSC Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MSC Industrial Direct. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MSC Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.6995.6097.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.4578.36105.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.58100.48102.39
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
78.2686.0095.46
Details

MSC Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MSC Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MSC Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MSC Industrial Direct, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MSC Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

MSC Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MSC Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MSC Industrial Direct can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 28th of January 2026 MSC Industrial paid $ 0.87 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Look At MSC Industrial Direct Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum

MSC Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MSC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MSC Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MSC Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56.2 M

MSC Industrial Fundamentals Growth

MSC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MSC Industrial, and MSC Industrial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MSC Stock performance.

About MSC Industrial Performance

By examining MSC Industrial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into MSC Industrial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that MSC Industrial is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 104.45  155.27 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.16  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.22  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.14 

Things to note about MSC Industrial Direct performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MSC Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MSC Industrial Direct help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 28th of January 2026 MSC Industrial paid $ 0.87 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Look At MSC Industrial Direct Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum
Evaluating MSC Industrial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MSC Industrial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MSC Industrial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MSC Industrial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MSC Industrial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MSC Industrial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MSC Industrial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MSC Industrial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MSC Industrial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MSC Industrial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MSC Industrial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether MSC Industrial Direct is a strong investment it is important to analyze MSC Industrial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MSC Industrial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MSC Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in MSC Industrial Direct. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Trading Companies & Distributors sector continue expanding? Could MSC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MSC Industrial. Expected growth trajectory for MSC significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MSC Industrial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
Dividend Share
3.44
Earnings Share
3.67
Revenue Per Share
68.273
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.04
Investors evaluate MSC Industrial Direct using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MSC Industrial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MSC Industrial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MSC Industrial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MSC Industrial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MSC Industrial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.